012026 · CMSIS Conference Paper
Predicting YouTube Video Popularity
As a content creator, I have often wondered why some videos suddenly take off while others do not. I explored this question using a YouTube dataset covering 10 countries and more than 360,000 records. Using the first three observation days of views and engagement, I tested a GWO-Transformer model against six other forecasting approaches. For this short-term task, simpler models performed better — a useful reminder to judge a method by its results, not its complexity.
CMSIS 2026Letter of acceptance